www.independent.co.uk Trader who predicted 2008 financial crisis bets $1.6bn on market crash by end of 2023
Michael Burry, played by Christian Bale in the movie ‘The Big Short’, is putting his money on another financial disaster
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Makes sense, thanks for your insight!
I experienced the problems you mention and guess my question is answered now :)
However, here's how I deal with it, my workaround:
On an empty board,
- if playing against black, I use -2. She is likely to get sacrificed, so I opt to replace the card worst case
- if playing against red or haste, I use +1. She might still be killed, but dealing 5 damage is some effort and requires one or two cards or actions for the opponent usually.
Against flying creatures, she offers some protection by giving reach. Ground creatures are usually tougher than birds, which can prevent further attacks. Or fail, if the reach blocker is removed.
In a creature disadvantage, I keep her in hand unless I desperately want to "super"-draw a creature instead.
The downsides are real, but kind of manageable. Maybe it depends on the rest of the deck, if flashing creatures is important enough. I thought of using that 4 mana blue enchantment, but that's even more expensive (unless lucky in start hand).
You're right, I think this whole post is about "Giving creatures flash". If that's my actual goal, is there a better way in MTG Arena Historic?
Fair point, thanks. I feel even if she gets removed by a spell right away, that's okay, because we just traded one card each. If she soaks up damage by immediately dying from an attack, that's like getting 5 HP for 3 mana, which I consider an okish deal. That could be said for any PW. Your point still stands though.
A debate between people who read the source and others who project preconceived narratives onto facts. Before this sadly popular meme, I thought the latter was a misdeed of climate "skeptics". It's quite painful to see how long-lived this meme is. It makes us look as bad and post-factual as the opposition. What do we do about this? Accept it as human nature? In consequence, stop blaming "skeptics", and people who rather believe what they want and don't look up, because we do exactly the same? I think we can and should do better, hence my effort here.
The core point people make and take away from this meme is "It's not us, it's them!". Meaning, consumer emissions don't matter, because corporate emissions are so much bigger.
And in exactly this core point, this meme is misleading. Because "our" emissions are included in "their" emissions (that's what phase scope 3 is about). It's like a child blaming their parents that they spend so much on food, while living off their purchases.
Underused card of the day: Vivien, Champion of the Wilds (2G Planeswalker)
Have you seen this PW before, or used it yourself? At 3 mana, she is fairly cheap. There are two options:
- +1: target creature gains vigilance and reach until your next turn
- -2: Exile one of the top 3 cards of your library face down. If it's a creature, you can cast it from exile even if Vivien is gone.
Her passive: You may cast creatures as though they had flash.
Of course, she doesn't make much sense if you have lots of noncreature cards. You cannot choose to not exile a card for -2.
But since many decks are heavy on creatures, why isn't she used more?
Stashing creatures into exile is nice. AFAIK they are safe from whatever your opponent could do, until you choose to bring them out.
Casting creatures with flash though, is literally a game changer. It essentially gives your creatures haste. Makes countering them much harder. And dodges sorcery-speed removal, if only for one turn. And of course, you can destroy combos by having a rule-changing creature jump in at instan
Probably, yes. Which means, this post is quite misleading.
Carbon majors is about fossil fuel producers. Drilling oil, mining coal. This is the first misleadioning: Big and popular companies like Apple are not covered. They also count whole national sectors as one producer, like "China (coal)". Not what the average reader might think when reading "company". Misleading.
Further, the report includes IIRC 3rd phase emissions. Meaning emissions caused by end consumers using the product. Meaning you burning coal to use electricity, or fuel to run your car.
That doesn't mean these companies (producers, sectors) are guilt-free. But we should hate them for the right reasons, of which there are plenty.
"The day starts at night" sounds silly because it seems to be a contradiction. But really, how else could it be?
Either, day starts at day ... but then it was already day. Or, day starts at night ... unless we come up with additional entities like dusk or dawn.
And since we haven't introduced them yet, day has to start at night, as a necessity.
Of course the actual silly thing is that it's still night right after day has started.
Confirmed. At first I was confused about the comments. Good idea, an obvious opportunity!
I heard that early childhood (first weeks, months, maybe years) are vital for development of emotional intelligence. Neglect could lead to life-long struggles. So I'm happy to hear you favor the idea to stay and care. Good for you, you both, and all of us.
burning teslas owned by random people when it seems it would be easier to burn this fucking nazi asshole?
Because simply in practical terms, it's the other way around. There's a Tesla right next door, but only one Musk somewhere, probably not where you are. And mostly, one has personal bodyguards, while the others just sit on the road.
Offering a slight damper / correction:
This is about two things (design and ownership), which are correlated, but not identical.
Malicious design can be things like:
- Algorithms to keep people engaged
- UIs to confuse users (luring them to purchases, or making 'cancel' hard to access)
- Using intermediate currencies to make it harder to assert value
- ...
Obviously, these patterns and practices can also be applied to a FOSS instance you own. There is less incentive to do so if the profit motive is removed - which makes a huge difference.
These design patterns are fundamentally about making user numbers go up. Attract more users, keep them on your platform longer, make them leave less. And a portion of user guidance mixed in. None of that is inherently evil, to some degree even desireable, and to some extent unavoidable to offer a functional service.
Some users may expect a feed like lemmy to browse indefinitely, since they find it inconvenient to have to click to go to the 'next page'. And because they got used to this feature elsewhere. Others already see this as a dark pattern.
I just wanted to highlight how some of the malicious stuff may still be present in the fediverse, without any company involved. Here, we're kind of in charge on both sides: Each is responsible for their own user agency (like controlling your online hours, or what sites you visit), and collectively to decide what user experience we want to shape (which might include controverse patterns).
I spent way too many words on this. Mostly I agree with you! And overall, users will encounter far less malicious patterns on FOSS.
[Edit: Formatting]
Same here. My max is about 5.5'' and 160g. Otherwise I feel it's too hard to carry and handle, or even just hold. I also want to be able to reach the opposing screen corner with my thumb.
Wouldn’t it be reasonable if another administration get in power and then need to purge all these positions of pro trump people?
Oh no! You have a great point for horror fans there.
I'd even say, it probably is somewhat necessary in order to resume administration. What a beautiful, postfactual dilemma:
The Reps fear an ideological, systemic witch hunt, which they use as an excuse to replace government workers. The new workers are ideologically aligned with the Reps, encouraged to assist the dismantling of non-Rep institutions and carry out the King's will above and beyond the law.
Now when votes swing the other way, the new administration kind of has to revert some of this damage to assume functioning.
Which is where the circle closes; the prophecy fulfills itself. Now the Reps have evidence for their previously baseless claims. The whole system is locked in a back-and-forth mud wrestling of replacing workers based on ideology.
That really is a stark contrast. What do the apologetics say about this?
So is social media, and the openness of free societies to internal (the rich owning the media) and external (foreign adversaries) tampering. Spreading misinformation, eroding trust in institutions and truth itself, poisons like that.
Many democracies are crumbling this way. We yet have to find an effective antidote.
Regardless of the voting system, there still is a worryingly large portion of voters who were corrupted to serve other's interests. And that is true to all (?) countries. That not just any two democracies fall first, but GB and US, kind of shows us that it could be anyone.
So while it is easy to look down on the fallen, or feel ashamed to be that - we're helpless in this together. Hate to end like that.
There is so much in this direction. For a fraction of the budget, you could obliterate both the Russian army and economy, without losing any soldiers. What an opportunity, what a deal. Unless you're owned by Russia, of course.
Oops, thanks. Meant Transnistria (to which the answer would be Putin, although I guess you would not have asked if I had not made that mistake). Sometimes, the letters in the middle of a word do seem to matter.
Very nice, exactly the signal The Free World needs now. Now, that the previous leader vanished in a puff of Kreml propaganda.
It's now more than ever at stake wether Ukraine can fend off the invasion (the outcome of which is another signal to autocrats eyeing future invasions, for example Taiwan, Transnistria*). It's a question.
One answer, one possible scenario is that each individual EU country feels overwhelmed to shoulder the additional burden. Or that the Union cannot muster enough support to replace the U.S. This scenario can be self-reinforcing. If it seems likely that the combined response would still be insufficient, a plausible outcome is everybody holding back, which already would favor the Russian aggression.
So this is why I want to highlight how much good news this is, because it's exactly the opposite kind of example. Literally stepping up.
*) Transnistria: Edited thanks to a comment, original wrongly said 'Tasmania'.
it’s dumb and silly when people go…
‘OK, so this bird, that feral bear, and these goblins are going to man this racecar and attack you!’
Heh, just before writing that comment, I thought of something similar.
"Ouch! Shoot that creature who just attacked us!" "Mylord, we can't." "WHY??" "It is still there in plain sight, but no longer a creature. We have to wait until the driver has finished lunch, hopped back into his seat, THEN we may shoot it!"
Care to elaborate? I agree, but I'm curious wether for the same reasons.
I'm still stuck to the idea that MTG is (or should be, in my opinion) a game about wizards having a battle, which is mostly fought out by summoned creatures.
And this simple and appealing concept is kind of ruined by adding a plethora of ways in which, well, no battle takes place. The One pinnacle for me are unblockable creatures. That's just so lame.
Generally, all the "I hit you and you can do nothing about it" mechanics (to which I somewhat count vehicles) turn what could have been a challenging game, into a mindless slaughter, or a matter of luck (can my deck so something about the other deck?). Even more generally, much of player ambitions seem to be focused around "how do I prevent others from playing that game" (including counterspells, land destruct, infinite loops), concerning for game design.
So far my rant, care to add yours?
Germany could always turn on them when the time is right.
That's too close to history to be an accident. I take the whole 2nd paragraph as satire, which I like.
That is, wow. I guess it's true, but ATM it feels too high to be real. Like I also heard about two states having closer to 20% voter turnout. Which surely are outliers (and WTF is wrong with people to not vote with so much at stake), but still 84% is very high.
Sooo I just make a comment on social media stating my opinion asking for other opinions ... Alright I found something more useful: https://www.wahlen.info/bundestagswahl/wahlbeteiligung/
It seems conservative Bavaria was pulling the turnout train.
Blown away by Estrid's Invocation (blue enchantment for 3 mana)
[[Estrid's Invocation]] enters as a copy of another enchantment you control. At your upkeep, you may re-enter it, allowing you to choose a different target.
Note that casting it without an eligible target will void the second part. It will just stay and sit there, not triggering on upkeep.
I tried to build a deck around this card with lots of non-legendary enchantments. And found out, Sagas are particularly interesting. The crazy interaction is that Estrid's re-enter triggers before Sagas tick up.
An example match start:
- turn 2: [[Omen of the Sea]] (1U, flash, scry 2, then draw 1)
- turn 3: [[Estrid's Invocation]] (2U), gaining another scry 2 + draw 1
- turn 4: [[Binding the old Gods]] (2BG, destroy nonland), Estrid re-entered before on the Omen to get a 3rd scry2+d1
- turn 5: Estrid re-enters as the Binding, which immediately lets you destroy a second nonland. Next but still in your upkeep, both Sagas tick up, letting you fetch two
basicforests. - turn 6: Estrid re-enters
Magic Arena: What do you hate most about it?
This post is meant to help me (and you, be welcome) vent some frustration, as well as help this community grow.
To make it interesting, try to explain at least a little bit why something bothers you.
- Noisy pets. I hate them.
I'm talking about the cackling goblin, the obnoxious horses, the dumb dogs, the intrusive mice and whatever repeatedly makes any sound.
I mean, it's a fun addition at first, but it gets old quickly. And whenever Someone gets some damage, or something else of minor importance happens, it gets commented by not more than 3 (?) sound reactions. I think I heard all of them a few thousand times by now. It's just annoying.
Sadly, the only way to mute them for good is to mute all opponent's text and image emotes, basically shutting off communication. Which has it's own merit, but it's a different thing. Why combine both in one control?
So sometimes I cruise on everything off to have more peace of mind. When I feel more open, I enable reactions again, but
What do you think about mana cost balanced by some stock market mechanism?
A shower thought which applies not specifically to MTG, as it would obviously be a different game.
What problem does this idea try to solve?
Balancing. It is hard to balance every card during design phase (or even impossible, as can be shown), which results in some overpowered cards which make the game less fair.
How?
Supply and demand. A card which is played often (by many players, in many games) has it's mana cost increased slightly. A card which is played rarely becomes cheaper.
Implications
This is probably not feasible with most mana costs sitting in the 1-digit-range. We can't make a 2-cost card "slightly" cheaper. So we would either need a mana system which works with decimals (e.g. 3.1415 CMC), or raise the integer system to a higher plateau (e.g. 314 CMC)
It's also only contemplable in digital versions, where a server can monitor every card drop, and adjust costs accordingly.
A big drawback is that your deck's costs can change over night (or even between co
Having fun with a new deck, what do you think?
The deck (60 cards, Historic) is based around the 'perpetually' keyword. It also involves [[Rusko, Clockmaker]], because I simply love that guy.
Here's an overview of the most important general cards:
- [[Three Steps Ahead]] as a counterspell and to make copies of creatures or [[Midnight Clock]].
- [[Test of Talents]] to thin the forest.
- [[Saw It Coming]] because it stays when [[Midnight Clock]] cycles.
- [[Sheoldred's Assimilator]] to recast own spells, to exile or steal cards.
- [[Sheoldred's Edict]], because it's too good.
- [[Tear Asunder]], same reason.
- [[Ritual of Soot]], because why do so many people play with soot? :(
- [[The End]] is there still forest?
- [[Casualties of War]] to reduce biodiversity.
- [[Druid Class]] for life and ramp. Also a sweet target to make copies.
- [[Glarb, Calamity's Augur]] ramp and "draw", plus emergency deathtouch blocker.
- [[Primeval Titan]] for ramp, also helps fetch enhanced lands from [[Vigorous Farming]] which were shuffled.
- [[Dopp
When people say two things "cannot be compared", they had to compare them to come to this conclusion. Are 'dissimilar' or 'unequal' better words?
What they actually mean is rather "these two things are very dissimilar", or "these two things are unequal".
I guess in most situations "cannot be compared" could be replaced by "cannot be equated", with less lingual inaccuracy and still the same message conveyed.
To come to the conclusion that two things are very dissimilar, very unequal, one necessarily has to compare them. So it's rather odd to come up with "cannot be compared" after just literally comparing them.
For example, bikes and cars. We compare them by looking at each's details, and finding any dissimilarities. They have a different amount of wheels. Different propulsion methods. Different price, and so on.
When this list becomes very long, or some details have a major meaning which should not be equated, people say they cannot be compared.
An example with a major meaning difference: Some people say factory farming of animals and the Holocaust are very similar, or something alike. Others disagree, presumably because
Rund 500.000 Fahrräder werden jedes Jahr gestohlen. Die Aufklärungsquote mickrig. Dabei ist das Fahrrad für viele das Hauptverkehrsmittel für Familie, Alltag und Beruf.
PI is what
The volume of a cylinder is found using the formula V = πr2h. Using π = 5, r = 10 and h = 10. Find the volume V.
Something changed about XP Boosts. Now, how can you tell which lesson activates a boost?
Before, completing the last lesson of a group (e.g. completing 5 of 5) activated a 15 minute boost. Which allowed me stop doing lessons at 4/5 and do practice instead. Later that day, I could complete lesson 5 to get a boost for a new session.
Now, these activation steps seem to be randomly scattered across lessons. Sometimes it's lesson 2, sometimes 5. Never the last one.
Did anyone else notice this? Any idea why? How do you deal with it?
It leads me to learn longer than I actually wanted (because I accidentally trigger boosts), or leads to me 'wasting' boosts, both of which feels bad.
Unity tutorial creator Brackeys highlights systemic issues with public company, promotes Godot
https://www.youtube.com/@Brackeys/about
Text version, thanks to @[email protected]:
Image Text
BRACKEYS
Hello everyone!
It’s been a while. I hope you are all well.
Unity has recently taken some actions to change their pricing policy that I - like most of the community - do not condone in any way.
I have been using Unity for more than 10 years and the product has been very important to me. However, Unity is a public company. Unfortunately that means that it has to serve shareholder interests. Sometimes those interests align with what is best for the developers and sometimes they do not. While this has been the case for a while, these recent developments have made it increasingly clear.
Unity has pulled back on the first version of their new pricing policy and made some changes to make it less harmful to small studios, but it is important to remember that the realities of a public company are not going to change.
Luckil
Unity tutorial creator Brackeys highlights systemic issues with public company, promotes Godot (FOSS)
https://www.youtube.com/@Brackeys/about
Text version, thanks to @[email protected]:
Image Text
BRACKEYS
Hello everyone!
It’s been a while. I hope you are all well.
Unity has recently taken some actions to change their pricing policy that I - like most of the community - do not condone in any way.
I have been using Unity for more than 10 years and the product has been very important to me. However, Unity is a public company. Unfortunately that means that it has to serve shareholder interests. Sometimes those interests align with what is best for the developers and sometimes they do not. While this has been the case for a while, these recent developments have made it increasingly clear.
Unity has pulled back on the first version of their new pricing policy and made some changes to make it less harmful to small studios, but it is important to remember that the realities of a public company are not going to change.
Luckil
Anliegerinformation: Mundsburg ab 14.10.2023
Was wird gebaut und warum?
Die Fahrbahndeckschichten im gesamten Knotenbereich befinden sich überwiegend in einem schlechten, z.T. mangelhaften Zustand, Unfallhäufigkeiten wurden verzeichnet. Um weitere Schäden zu vermeiden und die Verkehrssicherheit weiterhin gewährleisten zu können, werden nun im Rahmen des Bauprogramms „Instandsetzung Hauptverkehrsstraßen“ die Fahrbahndeckschichten im gesamten Knotenbereich erneuert. Außerdem soll ein geplanter Umbau der Lichtsignalanlage an der Kreuzung Lerchenfeld / Schürbeker Bogen im Rahmen der hier vorgesehenen Arbeiten realisiert werden.
Wann wird gebaut?
Die Arbeiten beginnen am 14.10.2023 und sollen bis spätestens 31.10.2023 abgeschlossen sein.
Wie ist der Verkehr während der Bauarbeiten geregelt?
Die Lichtsignalanlagen in den betroffenen Knotenpunkten müssen während der Bearbeitu
How to remove the first Home Screen (Discover)?
I managed to disable it, but I can't find how to remove it entirely. Anyone knows?
I'm talking about the screen all to the left.
Trader who predicted 2008 financial crisis bets $1.6bn on stock market crash by end of 2023
„Na“: Ein Wort für jede Situation | Karambolage | ARTE
Die Französin Ariane Kujawski stellt ihren Landsleuten das winzige deutsche Wort „Na“ vor. Es kann so viele Bedeutungen haben:
- Ansprache
- Vorwurf
- Freude
- Ärger
- Ungeduld
- Resignation
- Überraschung
- Gleichgültigkeit
- Unbestimmtheit
- Na toll
- Trost
- Bedrohung
- ...
Cannot find communities from thevapor.space
I'm specifically looking for these two:
- https://thevapor.space/c/vapemail | [email protected]
- https://thevapor.space/c/diyejuice | [email protected]
They exist, but I cannot find them through the lemm.ee search, so I cannot subscribe to them. I tried all tricks of which I'm aware several times. I checked wether we blocked or defederated each other, which does not seem to be the case.
So what's the issue, and how to fix?
You're also welcome to post other communities related to vaping, e-liquids, electric cigarettes.
Direct Air Capture vs Thermodynamics (Cool Worlds)
Video Description:
Direct Air Capture (DAC) has been getting more and more attention over the last few years. Could we avert climate change by pulling carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere? Could we not just stop, but actually reverse the damage done? Unfortunately, most don't fully appreciate just quite how much CO2 we've emitted and the outrageous scale of the problem facing us. Today, we apply the fundamental principles of thermodynamics to question whether this is even feasible.
Written & presented by Prof. David Kipping. Edited by Jorge Casas. Fact checking by Alexandra Masegian.
Channel Description:
Space, astronomy, exoplanets, astroengineering and the search for extraterrestrial life & intelligence.
The Cool Worlds Lab, based at the Department of Astronomy, Columbia University, is a team of astronomers s
Direct Air Capture vs Thermodynamics (Cool Worlds)
Video Description:
Direct Air Capture (DAC) has been getting more and more attention over the last few years. Could we avert climate change by pulling carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere? Could we not just stop, but actually reverse the damage done? Unfortunately, most don't fully appreciate just quite how much CO2 we've emitted and the outrageous scale of the problem facing us. Today, we apply the fundamental principles of thermodynamics to question whether this is even feasible.
Written & presented by Prof. David Kipping. Edited by Jorge Casas. Fact checking by Alexandra Masegian.
Channel Description:
Space, astronomy, exoplanets, astroengineering and the search for extraterrestrial life & intelligence.
The Cool Worlds Lab, based at the Department of Astronomy, Columbia University, is a team of astronomers se
Direct Air Capture vs Thermodynamics (Cool Worlds)
Video Description:
Direct Air Capture (DAC) has been getting more and more attention over the last few years. Could we avert climate change by pulling carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere? Could we not just stop, but actually reverse the damage done? Unfortunately, most don't fully appreciate just quite how much CO2 we've emitted and the outrageous scale of the problem facing us. Today, we apply the fundamental principles of thermodynamics to question whether this is even feasible.
Written & presented by Prof. David Kipping. Edited by Jorge Casas. Fact checking by Alexandra Masegian.
Channel Description:
Space, astronomy, exoplanets, astroengineering and the search for extraterrestrial life & intelligence.
The Cool Worlds Lab, based at the Department of Astronomy, Columbia University, is a team of astronomers se
Direct Air Capture vs Thermodynamics (Cool Worlds)
Video Description:
Direct Air Capture (DAC) has been getting more and more attention over the last few years. Could we avert climate change by pulling carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere? Could we not just stop, but actually reverse the damage done? Unfortunately, most don't fully appreciate just quite how much CO2 we've emitted and the outrageous scale of the problem facing us. Today, we apply the fundamental principles of thermodynamics to question whether this is even feasible.
Written & presented by Prof. David Kipping. Edited by Jorge Casas. Fact checking by Alexandra Masegian.
Channel Description:
Space, astronomy, exoplanets, astroengineering and the search for extraterrestrial life & intelligence.
The Cool Worlds Lab, based at the Department of Astronomy, Columbia University, is a team of astronomers s