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2 yr. ago
  • Yes, China dumps EVs on other markets.

    But here are some extra insights to consider about the issue:

    • To curb dumping, many countries already have, or are introducing, high tariffs against Chinese EVs. Biden had a 100% tariff on EVs, Canada is 100%, India is 70-100%, the EU is up to 45%, Brazil is ramping up to 35%, etc.
    • Around 90% of all EVs China produces are sold in China. So even if EV dumping ends, it'll have only a minor effect on production
    • Dumping is caused by over supply of Chinese EVs at the moment. Some countries, like the US under Trump policies, are deliberately attempting to drive down EV demand, further adding to the issue. And as with all markets, over supply can't be sustained indefinitely, so it's predicted that multiple Chinese EV manufacturers will go under or merge. This is normal in evolving markets
    • China is innovating much faster with EV tech, especially with battery technology. Meanwhile the US under Trump is removing incentives for EV production and ownership, and causing significant market uncertainty. This will have a far greater effect on Chinese dominance of the technology than dumping
    • China is in the majority of countries in offering government subsidies and tax breaks for emerging products, especially on things like R&D and infrastructure
    • The US and other countries also dump products on a significantly larger scale. For example, the US government subsidizes corn which is sold to world markets under production cost. Exports of corn from the US in 2024 were ~$14 billion, while Chinese EV exports were under $5 billion

    None of this is intended to condone China or any country dumping products, but as a warning about having overly simplified reactions to an issue without understanding the bigger picture.

  • The person I responded to only has one device. But even if there were multiple devices, you could just have a smart switch per device.

    The fire hazard issue is that holding the battery at 100% increases the internal chemical stress on the battery, and increases the risk of thermal runaway. So keeping it well below that will definitely have significant benefit. Ideally, trickle charging it at around 50% would be best for almost eliminating further strain. (But you'll likely need to charge it from 20-80% occasionally to help the battery management system keep calibrated.)

    And things can be done even smarter. Like only charge the battery at the coldest part of the day, typically early morning to reduce heat stress. Or throttle the device if it's temperature reaches a threshold. Etc.

    Yes, if you can remove the battery, that's helpful. But keep in mind you lose the benefit of battery backup during mains failure.

    Also, mobile phone fires get a lot of media attention because "drama," but they're not the hazard everyone thinks they are. You're far more likely to have a house fire from rodents chewing into electrical cables, clothes dryer lint catching fire, or anything with a heating component. Ebikes and escooters are far more likely to catch fire than phones.

    The point is if you're not emptying your dryer lint filter every use; if you're not getting home pest inspections every six months and putting down rodent traps or baits; if you're not getting your heating-element devices professionally checked regularly; if you're not storing your ebike well away from flammables; etc., then worrying about phone battery fires is ridiculously out of proportion.

    I've got a colleague who says she'll never buy an electric car because of the fire risk. But then she drives around in her gas car which is 8,000%+ more likely to catch fire.

    If you're still paranoid, keep the device in a non-combustable container away from flammables, and near enough to a smoke detector. It's easy to setup something that if the phone catches fire it'll just burn itself out.

  • ... you have an absolute right of entry as a citizen...

    You may have the right, but I wouldn't count on it being upheld.

    Trump has already deported US citizens (supposedly by mistake). And he has plans to make it legal.

    Yes, that would be unconstitutional, but Trump has ignored the constitution and the courts multiple times already.

  • Use a smart power switch.

    Battery level drops below say 20% - turn switch on and start charging.

    Battery level goes above 80% - turn switch off.

    For Android, you could use something like the Tasker app to do the monitoring and switching.

  • Yep, but unfortunately it's not going to matter how much manufacturing relocates to the US. The rest of the world is now starting to boycot US products en masse. Some countries are even banning investment into the US. And travel to the US is declining. So their trade deficit is going to get far worse.

    On top of that, there was news yesterday that Trump removed the ban on the use of "forever chemicals, " like PFAS. So that'll mean some US products won't be allowed to be imported into other countries.

  • Huh? Even if it's produced in Denmark, how can some of the revenue not be going back to the US where Coca Cola is based?

    Edit: Yep, Carlsberg Danmark pays royalties and licensing to The Coca Cola Company in the US. They also buy the syrup concentrate from the US (or its subsidiaries).

    So it is most definitely a US product that is being "finished" in Denmark, with a lot of revenue going to the US.

  • Or your neighbour does all the work instead of you, so you decide to buy soap from them. They're next door, while Walmart is across the county line, so you decide you won't charge yourself the extra self-tax with your neighbour.

    Walmart"s soap, which used to be $2, is now $3, while your neighbour's soap is $2.50.

    A week later your neighbour sees that demand for their soap is huge because everyone is self-taxing. So they raise their price to $2.95 to make extra profit.


    In case you think this is just a contrived fiction, this is exactly what happened to many goods, like solar panels, with Trump's first-term tarrifs. Americans paid over double the average world price for solar panels.

    Worse still, Trump knows this happened, yet somehow this time will be completely different.

    <sigh>

    • Dying of covid to own the libs.
    • Losing their jobs to own the libs.
    • Losing their social security to own the libs.
    • Losing their health care to own the libs.
    • Breathing increased pollution to own the libs.
    • Paying higher prices to own the libs.

    Shooting themselves in the foot over and over... "Ha! Take that libs!"

    (Sooooo much winning /s)

  • "In the short term, the market is a voting machine, but in the long term, it is a weighing machine" - Benjamin Graham ("father" of value investing and mentor to Warren Buffett)

    Meaning that in the short term, stock prices can be swayed from a company's true value by investors' emotions and opinions.

    But eventually the stock price will align with the company's actual profitability and growth potential.

    And you're right that these are crazy times, and the "short term" irrationality can last a lot longer than past experiences.

    Historically, we've used examples like the 17th century tulip mania, or the dot com boom, but it won't surprise me if Tesla becomes the poster child for this quote in the future.

  • Large industrial farms got subsidies. Many small farms went under permanently.

    And for every job that was saved, it cost the US ~$900,000.

    But the saddest thing were the TV interviews of some of the farmers who had lost the business that had been in their families for generations. Many of them were saying that they still believed in Trump.

    They figuratively shot themselves in the foot and were yelling "Ha! Take that libs"

  • From the article:

    ... early humans were able to tap into in the form of roots, starchy vegetables, and seeds.

    These foods are all allowed and even encouraged on the paleo diet.

    If anything, by limiting the list of starch sources to these foods, this article adds support for paleo.

  • Yeah, seems most people have forgotten that inflation was already over 6% for the quarter when Liberal left office in 2022. Labor didn't cause the problem, they inherited it. And they helped start to bring down inflation within 6 months.

    I'm not saying Albo and Labor are a godsend, but Liberal are a far worse choice. The Libs blew over $50 billion on the NBN screw up and Snowy 2.0. And their nuclear power project is already looking to easily exceed that.