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1 yr. ago
  • I agree with the overall sentiment, but I'd like to add two points:

    1. Everyone starts off as a code editor, and through a combination of (self-)education and experience can become a software engineer.
    2. To the point of code editors having to worry about LLM's taking their job, I agree, but I don't think it will be as over the top as people literally being replaced by "AI agents". Rather I think it will be a combination of code editors becoming more productive through use of LLMs, decreasing the demand for code editors, and lay people (i.e. almost no code skills) being able to do more through LLMs applied in the right places, like some website builders are doing now.
  • It's also such a funny contradiction: a big part of the free market model rests on the idea that well informed consumers can vote with their wallet, which should reward good businesses and punish bad ones. Yet it is very difficult to argue consumers have ever been informed enough to make this work, which is in large part due to advertising flooding communication channels with noise, and also because it is unreasonable to expect a consumer to be fully informed for the hundreds of purchases they make on a daily basis.

  • Yeah in this case I think it's more a case of "hey this guy looks kind of like my son". In this case I think it led to a miscarriage of justice, but I think in other cases that kind of thinking could protect against excessively harsh punishments. In the end I think it comes down to inequality. Bigger inequality shrinks the pool of people judges can intuitively relate to, which in turn makes judgements more unequal.

  • I think that's just the comfortable position for humans. Questioning what you know to be true is hard, and the more fundamental the fact the more uncomfortable it is to doubt. Which is also why religion is so attractive.

  • Real

  • Even though I haven't run anything Debian based as a daily driver in about a decade, I still recommend Debian based distro's to beginners. With Ubuntu being so widespread it just makes sense, because whenever you search for "how do I install xyz on linux" it's going to be a guide for Ubuntu 99% of the time, which should work on other Debian based distro's most times.

  • I agree that it's editorialized compared to the very neutral way the survey puts it. That said, I think you also have to take into account how AI has been marketed by the industry.

    They have been claiming AGI is right around the corner pretty much since chatGPT first came to market. It's often implied (e.g. you'll be able to replace workers with this) or they are more vague on timeline (e.g. OpenAI saying they believe their research will eventually lead to AGI).

    With that context I think it's fair to editorialize to this being a dead-end, because even with billions of dollars being poured into this, they won't be able to deliver AGI on the timeline they are promising.

  • I think that should be expected given the governing structure of almost all large companies, because they're dictatorships. Employees have no say over who's in leadership, and can be fired more or less without recourse. You wouldn't expect a town hall in Russia or North Korea to allow dissent, would you?

  • I think many countries won't though, out of fear of retaliation from the aforementioned orange hitler. That's a stupid reason for the EU/UK not to take advantage though, because he's already made clear he will antagonize US allies whenever he pleases and invent an excuse to do it.