From first drop.

Thanks!

Quebec, which has taken a stance against pipeline projects in recent years, showed that nearly 60 per cent of people surveyed would support an oil and gas pipeline through their province.

Interesting. So maybe we could indeed start solving the EU's gas problem.

He'll still enjoy licking the boot.

I doubt it. His belief system is fucked beyond belief on multiple levels. Not impossible to deprogram but it's gonna take a lot of work. He's like the right wing, Schapiro-watching, Jordan Peterson-idolizing, teenage edgelord that got paid for it for over 20 years and is now 45.

This is amazing and it means Big Social has APIs for this. Which in turn means that we can build a similar system in Canada and have them open up the APIs for it. I suspect we'd need legislation forcing them to cooperate.

Finally AI slop I can get behind!

Yeah, in a minority quite possibly. Unless the NDP is so weak and broke they can't afford an election. I was thinking about a majority scenario since there was still a path to it. That said Milton East-Halton Hills South and Nunavut resolved to CPC and NDP so I don't think a majority is possible anymore.

Is there a procedural mechanism to do this?

Did you see what I dreamt up? 🤣

Fuck me. I just came to this. I did not want it to be this close. 😆

I worry even if he does make changes they’ll get ignored or overly politicized like the carbon tax was.

Oof, yeah. I mean one way to help it is to achieve significant enough results that people see and feel in their lives. Universal dental and pharmacare would be two obvious, short-term low hanging fruits. But yeah, they still need to advertise that they did it. Mid-term everyone is waiting on housing costs.

He needs to get Canadian news out of Postmedia’s hands.

And regulate Meta into showing and paying for Canadian news. Also somehow unfucking the algo but I doubt they'd succeed into doing much about that.

Yeah, most of that makes sense. Thanks!

while we get saddled with an even angrier and vindicated CPC

This one displays a clear logical error - that of non sequiturs and false dichotomy. It doesn’t automatically follow that, even if all of the above happened, that the CPC would be able to follow and push its current agenda. What if sympathy for Quebec after all this is so strong that PQ ends up with the leading role in a new coalition? Or former Liberals flee to the NDP, reviving it and granting it a majority?

I'm thinking about this as with the rest of the scenario inductively, and omitting some assumptions. All of what you suggest are plausible/likely possibilities, for sure. What makes me think that a strong CPC outcome is likely is that there was data from the weekend showing that CPC without a leader handily sweeps the election. So I assume they change PP for someone more likeable which puts them in a much stronger position, therefore likely to win if the Carney gov't doesn't execute well.

That's the thing, I don't, but what do I have to base that on? I've listened to him very carefully during interviews, pressers, read analyses of his books and from all that I do believe he's not that kind of corrupt grifter. But all that is judgement of character which isn't always reliable. On the other hand being a con man is the assumed default with PP so...

Flaw 1) If Carney wanted to get richer, there are easier says to go about it.

Probably right.

Flaw 2) Party discipline is a norm, not codified. So if Carney does get his slim majority, a bare handful of the new, very tenuous MPs could easily stop them.

Yeah, I guess I'm underestimating the barriers available.

Flaw 3) Public polling in Quebec has shown approvals etc for pipelines ever since trump 2.0.

Oh? Do you have a link handy?

Thanks for engaging!

A fever dream. 😂

I don't see the flaw in it. But yes, at this point there's no substance. We'll see how the infrastructure projects would be structured. For example whether they retain public ownership or not. If we begin to see private ownership, that would be the substance.

That I don't see anything making it impossible or even too difficult, if they get a majority which is still possible. And that Carney has incentive to do it. If the NDP holds power, they could intervene.

Yeah, Carney is on an anti-PP ticket. If he doesn't do drastic changes that all demographics see, we're in for whatever hurt the next con leader brings. It's kinda like the UK election and I hope Carney doesn't shit the bed like Starmer. If he understands this and is willing to act, he can.

Fucking hell. Thanks for bringing this up!