There have been persistent rumours about the 20th of April.

1. Nazi saluting people in power might want to pay their respects to Hitler's birthday
2. it is 90 days after US President ordered a report (to complete within 90 days) to recommend if the US should declare a migration state of emergency.
3. The way they have been braking the law and ignoring courts and go full gestapo with ICE, they cant stop now, they have to keep going or they will fail.

So I found Astro.com's read on the month particularly interesting as there are several aspects seeming to converge around that time of this month.

Obligatory this is not an April's Fools joke, but lets hope it is.

More here

( ALL of this is predicated on this being The Great Filter, in-which humankind divides into 2 underlying factions, & goes into multi-stage deathmatch mode, until this is all finished.

The 2 underlying factions are the Kahneman1-mind, imprint->reaction mind, ideology/prejudice/"religion" does all our thinking for us, .. faction,

vs

the Kahneman2-mind, considered-reasoning mind, Empiricism, objectivity, Humanist-Rationalism people, who do not comprise more than 1/3 of humankind, at absolute most.

Daniel Kahneman's "Thinking Fast & Slow" the most-fundamental book in understanding what humankind's actually doing, right now, globally.

Please read it, soon.

Other books which identify dimensions of the real-underlying-unconscious-obstacle-set that humankind may be extinguished by, include:

researchers Logan, King, & Fischer-Wright's "Tribal Leadership", on the 5 Culture Levels ( not "stages": stages are irreversible, like caterpillar->moth, these tend to revert to CultureL

Let's use https://www.v-dem.net/ as the source here to determine whether this prediction is considered valid or not.

I'd wager Bezos, but it could be Zuckerberg or Sam Altman. Purpose will be to keep the other tech billionaires kissing Trump's ring -- similar to what Putin did to their oligarchs.

cross-posted from: https://lemy.lol/post/22844267

Need Opinion.

What do you think is the right way to play this bet in the polygon prediction market?

Is playing contrarian gonna give a huge pay off?

Or Is going with the market trends going to help make decent but sure shot gains of 4-5%?

By the way the election result is to be declared on June 4th, 2024.

I still see most people in his favour despite everything.

I personally don't like Modi much but as a business decision there are higher odds in betting in support of him.

What are your thoughts on this?

After dinner time discussion, my gf asked me to make a record.

In 5 years...

10% of search traffic is paid.

Reddit is primarily a short form video website (like Tiktok).

SpaceX predictions are fun...

At least, the community prediction is only at 24% right now. Personally, I'm at 60%.

This market is very active currently. Bets are piling up for Yes and No positions, so there seem to be strong opinions on both sides.

Or do it like a the naughty social media normie that you and cite your horoscope

For example, things like this:

Some models might be able to answer this precise question correctly, but they will still fail at many simple primary-school-level math questions.

More examples in my comment here.

And the worst part is that, with so many companies shifting to work-from-home. it will create a culture (especially for early-career workers) that's less "work from home" and more "live at work." You'll be on call 24-hours a day, reachable at all times. And, for early-career workers getting out of college, it won't even seem like a strange transition from college dorms and fraternity/sorority houses to company housing.

Not only will this lead to a culture where just living on your own at all is a major achievement, it will create a culture where workers don't own much of their own, because they have little storage space. It also means that leaving or job or (god forbid) getting fired or laid off will also render you homeless almost immediately.

Maybe I should shh up before I start giving these companies ideas.