Moldova because of Transnistria that will likely declare independence as soon as Russia creates a land bridge there.
Taiwan because China has a civil war to finish ending it's decades-long cease fire and it saw how well Russia was doing with Ukraine.
After that it's anyone's guess, but I think since we're on a roll-back with Afghanistan, why not Iraq as well?
It has a shiite majority like Iran and the shiites have traditionally leaned more towards Russia/China.
Hungary will leave the EU by then and unlike the UK, it's departure will be punished by force as everyone knows which groups and organisations it will try to join.
Meanwhile Syria kicks out the US and Turkey.
Saudi Arabia, not wanting those dollars anymore, but Rubles and Yuan will go into civil war as the US backs whatever group is willing to get paid for it.
And after that I think it's Turkey's turn.
The Kurds have been betrayed by the US so many times and Turkey has always been the outsider of NATO.
So supp
Last prediction I thought Canada was going to be pulled into the US civil war, but with the recent development I actually think Canada is up first.
The Freedom Convoy is yet another center to far-right laborer movement.
The issues are loss of fossil power, tech centralization and high inflation as Canada copies the US policy of printing itself out of an economic crisis,
while the protest is about removing red tape.
Removing vaccine mandates not going to solve the inflation crisis Canada has together with the US1 and the right wing protest seems to have backing from the Canadian police, so neither placating the protest nor attacking the protest will stop the protests.
That's why I think the protests will not stop and eventually turn into the violent coup the US Republicans and Trumpians are salivating for.
The right wing media pundits are openly cheering it on and rich right wing USians are very likely the anonymous financial backers.
For them it will be a right wing co
Having seen lots of youtube scenario videos, I keep finding them being a bit... unrealistic in terms of what's going to happen and why.
The most agreeable scenario I've found of which the picture is from is taken from http://thinkingwayoutsidethebox.org/?page_id=92
and has been my initial thinking of how the secession in the civil war will play out. Two blocks of blue states and one block of red states.
The three immediate major factors of the Second American Civil war are going to be rapidly. First rising debt, second rising income inequality and third and most importantly, these two issues causes a rift in it's two-party system.
Short explanation of how this came to be:
The major income inequality is due to the fall of the USSR and the lack of fear of a socialist revolution in the US causing unrest, unlike in the 1930s, where the US decided to start social democratic reforms.
The debt is caused by no longer having the virtually infinite amount of cheap energy resources it used t
I'm curious what the Lemmygrad community thinks about upcoming unrest in the US.
With civil unrest growing as more people realize that the foundation of the American state is built on the skeletons of minorities and is satiated with the blood of the 'unworthy', which came to a head last summer with protesting. And with future summers becoming hotter, and hotter, to the point that survival in parts of the US will become nye impossible, it's sure that the United States will become more hellish than it already is.
What do y'all think the outcomes of this might be?
What do y'all think unrest in the US would look like?
Climate change is projected to cause the average temperature of much of the United States to be above livable levels for extended periods. By 2100, it appears to be projected that large swaths of the American south will be uninhabitable for much of the year.
Because of this, I could see a mass exodus of USians from the southeast leaving their homes behind to move north. If not into the north of the United States, then into Canada.
Further, I speculate this event would wear heavily on Canadian politics, and be a sparking event for Canadian Fascism.
This one's probably not going to happen. I would assume the fracture of the power of the American state would allow for a power vacuum to form. I would further assume certain polarized demographic bubbles in the US wouldn't feel confident allowing the legal government of the United States to govern them.
From these assumptions, I think it's possible but unlikely that North America will see a rise of warlords. Perhaps this could be like China's warlord era, or perhaps it would be unlike anything anyone's seen before - who knows? Regardless, I'll reiterate, probably not going to happen.