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ravenaspiring

@ ravenaspiring @sh.itjust.works

Posts
8
Comments
121
Joined
11 mo. ago

  • AI Data Centers Are an Even Bigger Disaster Than Previously Thought

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  • Oh I agree, it will go up. But having lived through the dotcom boom, I'm a bit more skeptical especially when I start seeing "OpenAI unveiled a “Central Park–size complex” in the Texas scrublands and disclosed plans to construct roughly a dozen more of them, a build-out that will cost $1 trillion." when their revenue just cross $10 billion earlier this year. It's not a linear growth, sure, but can you cite anything that indicates AI is describing a logarithmic growth rate?

    What I'm reading in forecasts indicate a growth of the entire market of somewhere between 2.5 trillion and 4.8 trillion. So building a single data center (That's just OpenAI, Microsoft, Orcale, etc are also building more) which is planned to cost somewhere over a half to a quarter of the total market grown estimate in 10 years is tech & investors who haven't learned from history.

    Remember that the dotcom's were convinced that laying fiber across the US was a good bet at $100 billon (around $190 billion today), but it took another decade to actually use that fiber and start recouping the cost.

    So sure, there's growth and it's likely to continue as products improve. However as an avid tester of narrow ai's in various paid methods, I can say they are not justifying a doubling or tripling in subscription cost yet. They aren't yet worth a human in many ways.

    (Cite things and argue with me please! I'm happy to be wrong.)

  • AI Data Centers Are an Even Bigger Disaster Than Previously Thought

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  • To me, this is striking:

    “I had previously assumed a 10-year depreciation curve, which I now recognize as quite unrealistic based upon the speed with which AI datacenter technology is advancing,” Kupperman wrote. “Based on my conversations over the past month, the physical data centers last for three to ten years, at most.”

    In his previous analysis, Kupperman assumed it would take the tech industry $160 billion of revenue to break even on data center spending in 2025 alone. And that’s assuming an incredibly generous 25 percent gross margin — not to mention the fact that the industry’s actual AI revenue is closer to $20 billion annually, as the investment manager noted in his previous blog.

    Meaning that currently his guess is that at current revenue, it'll take 8 years to break even... So maybe they'll get two years of profit at max, or be underwater by five years and $100 billion. Current revenue is going to change, but they'll have to triple it in short order or be at risk... And that seems somewhat unrealistic with the lack of success in the AI products.

    From https://hbr.org/2025/08/beware-the-ai-experimentation-trap apparently 95% of AI projects piloted by businesses have produced no measurable return.

  • Excuse me, but what the f#@£?

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  • While I get the sentiment, I think you are missing the two pieces here. One is that advertising is not the only method of monetization which can support something like Firefox. The second is that advertising is by it's nature influence. Both in influence over the purchaser and reader. It's an influence we should not approve of in both cases, without better boundaries.

  • flohmarkt a federated alternative to ebay and facebook marketplace

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  • Having spent a good amount of the last several weeks working on several self hosted things,I would have to agree. Simple projects shouldn't take long... But some shit happens.

    When something is done and working, it is satisfying.

  • Veterans react to Hegseth’s ‘insulting’ address to generals and admirals

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  • So how much did it cost to drag all of them to his special Ted talk? Government rules sure, but he just dragged all of the flag ranked official he could get his hands on and they are likely to be in hotels not barracks, and most probably flew commercial or use the VIP transports.

  • Trump signs executive order criminalizing opposition to fascism

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  • ...

    Antifa, as even FBI Director Christopher Wray was forced to admit in a September 2020 congressional hearing, is not an organization but a broad current of opposition to fascism. “Antifa is an ideology, not an organization,” said Wray, who also testified that the bureau had no data showing any lethal violence committed by the organization.

    Since antifa as a formal organization does not exist, Trump’s executive order amounts to a blanket authorization to brand political dissent and opposition to his fascist regime as “terrorism.”

    The order signed by Trump on Monday did not present any specific incidents or examples of alleged “antifa terror.” It claimed without evidence that antifa elements “coordinated efforts to obstruct enforcement of Federal laws through armed standoffs with law enforcement, organized riots, violent assaults on Immigration and Customs Enforcement and other law enforcement officers, and routine doxing [sic] of and other threats against political figures and activists.”

    The executive order directs all agencies to “investigate, disrupt, and dismantle” the activities of anyone alleged to act on behalf of antifascism or to provide “material support.”

    As of this writing, no evidence has been publicly presented that Tyler Robinson, the 22-year-old alleged to have shot and killed Kirk on September 10, was part of any organized left-wing or anarchist group, including antifa.

    ...

  • Now put the marshmallows in the mug of cheese sauce

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  • Please... Post the research to Reddit or Twitter and leave my Lemmy eyes to focus on puppies, cats, and news that keeps me infuriated.

  • Luigi Mangione arrives at court as a judge dismisses state terrorism charges against him

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  • https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/16/us/luigi-mangione-ny-court-hearing

    The Manhattan district attorney’s terrorism case against Luigi Mangione fell apart on Tuesday, as a New York judge found the evidence had not established he committed a terroristic act by allegedly killing UnitedHealthcare’s CEO.

    The decision to dismiss the two top charges against Mangione – murder in the first degree in furtherance of an act of terrorism and murder in the second degree as a crime of terrorism – marked a victory for the 27-year-old. Still, he faces a count of second-degree murder that could result in a sentence of 25 years to life, if convicted, and a separate federal death penalty prosecution.

    “There was no evidence presented of a desire to terrorize the public, inspire widespread fear, engage in a broader campaign of violence, or to conspire with organized terrorist groups,” Judge Gregory Carro wrote in his decision Tuesday.

    ...

  • Gates McFadden Talks Ghost Candle Orgasms And Jean-Luc/Beverly Relationship Status After ‘Star Trek: Picard’

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  • She's awesome!

    “Yes, I remember very clearly reading it, finishing it, and going… ‘That’s ridiculous. I’ve got to call the producer.’ What is it doing this to this woman who’s a high ranking officer—for years all the women in her family on this planet have been in love with a lamp? And the thing was, I know that the writer wanted me to have a romantic episode. It was a little more than romance, if you know what I mean. So I’m like, ‘Really, I have to do a ghost orgasm on—okay, all right.'”

    ...

    “But you know what? Now, I love it because it’s such a cult thing, and I think it’s hilarious. So here’s the thing, don’t get too excited, BUT… Nacelle is coming out with a Sub Rosa—a Beverly Crusher action figure in the pink nightgown, okay, with lots of accoutrement, and that’s, you know, things. And so we have a lamp, we have different things, so it should be quite an interesting kind of an ACTION figure, okay? So be careful. Don’t use it–well… you can use it alone. But so is it really wild that after all these years… at first was like, I was like, I’m so embarrassed. Patrick couldn’t believe it, you know me and the nightgown, I mean the whole thing. And now? I love it. So there you go. You never should say never, because you sometimes are wrong.”

    ...

    One fan told McFadden that watching “The Host” as a child was “remarkable,” as a story like that was not the norm on TV. The actress was eager to talk about the season 4 episode, which introduced an early version of the Trill species to the franchise. McFadden relished the opportunity to explore new territory in the story pitched by Michel Horvat (and the teleplay heavily rewritten by Jeri Taylor):

    “I thought it was the first gay writer, openly gay writer, that we had used their script on the show. And I thought was a brilliant script. From the first time I read it, I thought, this is extraordinary. He’s asking what is the nature of love? How much is physical, how much is experiential… What is love? And that’s a great question to ask, a hard question to answer.”

    ...

    “When I did the surgery and pulled out this… It did look like a scrotum, guys. Honestly, the male producers are really doing this to get to me. It could have looked sweet, right? It could have been sweet, right? So this is what I’m in love with, thank you so much. Then it’s Jonathan [Frakes], you know, it’s like all this is happening within a 24-hour period. And it turns out it goes into a woman. “

    ...

    “It forced you to think, what is, what is love? I mean, it actually got you to think about it, things that you might not normally thought about in the same way. And I got some people—when I used to be on Twitter, I’m not now—but when I was on Twitter, they were, ‘Well, that was so anti-gay. She didn’t sleep with the woman.’ And I’m like, ‘Dude, in 24 hours she’s been with that. She’s seen this scrotum sack. I think it’s enough for one day, you know? Like, let’s give her a break.’ And I feel that way. I feel it had nothing to do with that, and that wasn’t the purpose of it. It wasn’t like saying this is what you should do. And I thought she handled it very nicely. She said, ‘I’m just not ready.’ And that’s that’s perfectly reasonable as far as I’m concerned.”

  • Exclusive: Leaked Messages from Charlie Kirk Assassin

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  • The phrase inscribed on one of the bullet casings from the shooting — “Hey fascist, catch!” — though widely reported to mean he was a man of the left, is in fact a reference to the Helldivers 2 game. Three arrows initially believed by federal agents to be a reference to Antifa are also a reference to Helldivers.

    Private Discord messages shared with me by a friend of Robinson’s confirm that Robinson wasn’t some political martyr. A search for posts of Robinson’s containing keywords like “Biden” and “Trump” turned up just one hit each. The Trump post was a passing reference to the 2019 impeachment inquiry. The Biden one came on the day of the 2020 election, where he provided an update to another friend asking about the status of the vote count.

    Context matter... At least to those who aren't ignorant fascist. He was a fucking young gamer, who was bisexual in a conservative household. Confused as fuck and yet, apparently MAGA thinks that means he's a liberal, not a kid still finding himself.

  • Trump’s Selective Memory: “Not Familiar” With Assassinated Democratic Lawmaker While Raging About “Left-wing Violence”

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  • Great pull btw.

  • Three takeaways from FBI Director Kash Patel's combative Senate hearing

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  • I'm pretty sure your dog would do a better job with holding runny shit than Patel would. Shittin on liberties is what Patel is good at.

  • Donald Trump posting week-old photo raises eyebrows amid health speculation

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  • JD Vance Says He’s Ready to Be President If Trump’s Health Fails

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  • I am hopeful of this as a theory. I admit to being curious if there are any historical allegories to this.

  • Wholesome nurse

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  • A German ISP tampered with their DNS - specifically to sabotage my website

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  • The Clearingstelle Urheberrecht im Internet (CUII) is a private group formed by ISPs and copyright holders. They decided what websites to block, and ISPs followed, without any court ruling. No judge was involved, no legal process.

    The members: The four largest ISPs in Germany and a bunch of copyright holders (the Motion Picture Association, Sky, ...). If they decided that a site should be blocked, the ISPs just blocked the domains from being resolved. This ran completely outside the courts, a private system made by corporations for censorship. Blocked sites included streaming services, but also sites like Sci-Hub or game piracy sites.

    In a previous blog post, I went into detail on how we trolled them:

    • We leaked their secret blocklists (the list of domains was kept secret!)
    • We exposed dozens of wrongful and outdated blocks.
    • We made them unblock a lot of domains, including some that were blocked for years.
    • ... and so much more. We just made a lot of bad press for them.

    The CUII now only coordinates blocks between ISPs after a court order. That's it. No more secret votes. No more corporate censorship. The new version of their website says: "The CUII coordinates the conduct of judicial blocking proceedings and the implementation of judicial blocking orders."

    ...

  • In Ohio, a Solar Co-Op Helps Families Go Solar for Less

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  • Removed

    Democrats need to get off their asses!

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  • Not sure what shit you been seeing the Democrats do, so I'd love a list. What I see them doing is capitulating to some of the worst changes in American democracy since the 1930s.

  • Removed

    Democrats need to get off their asses!

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