One year on. Hundreds of thousands are dying or dead, millions are displaced, the Middle East is undergoing its greatest changes in a generation, Iran has directly attacked Israel twice in one year, and Yemen has proven that the US Navy ain't worth shit. We are the closest we have been to nuclear war (discounting accidents) in decades, but also the fall of Israel.
Because one day, the prisoners of a concentration camp paraglided over a wall.
Israel must have gotten smoked really bad by that Iran strike to not do anything on Oct 7
I wonder if Israel is trying to do the same thing to Iran that Iran did to Israel - forcing them to wait for the response and drain their resources by acting like it's imminent every night. I don't really think it'll have the same effect though because Iran is not under the same pressure that Israel is, so time is on Iran's side
Yeah, if Iran moves all their stuff to bunkers they aren't really harmed since they aren't under threat from anyone else (imminently, anyway). Israel has to worry about the four other countries they've bombed in the last week.
I suppose it makes it harder for Iran's nuclear program, but I really have no idea what to make of the progress on that.
We have visual evidence and conformation (in satellite imagery) of 33 direct hits on just one of the airbases Iran targeted. While unfortunately the attack didn't do much damage, and narrowly missed some F-35 hangars with only one or two direct hits on the hangars themselves, it's still quite telling that 33 re-entry vehicles (RV's) made it through without interception. And we still do not have satellite imagery of the other two airbases targeted, one of which we have video evidence of secondary explosions after the Iranian missile attack. Iran only launched 180 missiles of the thousands in its arsenal. In a prolonged conflict, there would be no way for Israel could keep up with trying to intercept continued volleys of Iranian missiles, they simply do not have enough interceptor missiles in Arrow 3 and Arrow 2.
We don't really know what got hit. Israel has a pretty tight military censor. As I mentioned in my post in last week's mega, it looks like Iran got some direct hits on the G550 hangars, which Israel uses for early warning missile detection and reconnaissance/targeting. The Israeli media has repeatedly been talking about the F-35s being fine, but no one has said boo about the G550s, or the Unit 8200 base or Mossad HQ, for that matter. If any of the G550s that are used for airborne early warning were damaged or destroyed, Israel's ability to detect an income missile barrage may already be damaged (more so than it already is), which makes another strike on Iran a more dangerous proposition.
Yeah we only really know what got hit at one of the three airbases, and 1 of 5 targets total, due to the censorship. But I think there is enough video evidence to state two things. Tel Nof, with all the secondary explosions on video, probably got it even harder than Nevatim, which is why we have no satellite imagery of Tel Nof, and that the attack on Mossad HQ was largely unsuccessful, probably due to two things: Iran not firing many missiles at it because it's in a civilian area, and Israel prioritising interceptions over Mossad HQ.
RWN ep had this guy Landis on and he said that Iran utterly failed in its attack lol
Not a surprise at all if you recall the way their takes went on Ukraine, the Essequibo region, China, the Tigray War, you name it. Also the retweets are NAFO lite the past few years, very embarrassing.